Posts Tagged ‘victor cha’

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Daily International News 12.06.10

December 6, 2010

Daily International News
December 6, 2010

Northeast Asia
Koreas
V. Cha Op-ed: What to Do About N.Korean Aggression? [Chosun]
U.S. steps up pressure on China to rein in North Korea
[WaPo]
China’s Hu tells Obama Korea tension could go
[Reuters]
South Korea begins live-fire military drills
[BBC]
ICC investigating alleged war crimes by North Korea
[BNO News]
160 OFWs allowed to leave for South Korea
[ABS-CBN]
Obama touts S.Korea trade deal, looks for more
[Reuters]
FTA now in legislative cross hairs
[JoongAng]
SKorean presidential body calls for restoring 24-month military service term [Yonhap]

China/Japan
Leaked memos likely to strain China-US ties more
[AP]
Japanese gov’t tipped off Chinese officials about fishing boat captain’s release
[Mainichi]
China disrupts NHK report on Nobel Prize ceremony set for next week [Mainichi]

Central/South Asia
India, France sign multimillion nuclear power deal
[AP]
Two blasts kill at least 40 in Pakistan
[UPI]
Cash Flow to Terrorists Evades U.S. Efforts
[NYT]
From 12/5 Afghanistan Government Arrests 4 on Election Panel [NYT]

Middle East
Nuclear Talks Start Between Iran and 6 Nations
[NYT]
Egyptian polls open despite boycotts by opposition parties
[CNN]
Israel fears ‘flood’ of migrants threatens state
[AP]

Africa
Mbeki Arrives in Côte d’Ivoire as Tension Mounts
[All Africa]
Kenya crackdown in Nairobi’s Somali Eastleigh suburb
[BBC]
Bangladeshi ship seized by pirates heads to Somalia
[BBC]

Europe
UN Climate Envoys Consider 2-Year Deadline for Curbing Carbon
[Bloomberg]
British lawmaker denies aide is a Russian spy
[CNN]
Reports: Russian satellites fall into Pacific
[AP]
Spain may extend state of alert over strike
[BBC]
Europe’s leaders at odds over bond plan
[FT]
Continental ‘responsible’ for Concorde crash in 2000
[BBC]

Americas
Gunmen kill 4 in attack on 2 Mexico rehab centers
[AP]
Haiti demonstrators clash with police in Port-au-Prince
[BBC]
From 12/5 Venezuelans elect 11 mayors, 2 state governors [AP]

Domestic
WikiLeaks Backfires by Exposing Hidden U.S. Virtue: Albert Hunt
[Bloomberg]
From 12/5 Hundreds of WikiLeaks Mirror Sites Appear [NYT]
Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal says Sarah Palin is “absolutely” electable
[WaPo]
Lawmakers Target Social Security, Tax Breaks to Reduce Deficit
[Bloomberg]
Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke’s Take On The Economy
[CBS]
Bush Tax-Cut Deal With Jobless Aid Said to Be Near
[NYT]

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Daily International News 11.09.10

November 9, 2010

Daily International News
November 9, 2010

Northeast Asia
G20
Victor Cha on The G20: Down to the Wire
[Chosun]
China and Germany slam U.S. policy before G20 summit
[Reuters]
N. Korea mocks S. Korea for raising terrorism alert ahead of G-20
[Yonhap]

China
Nobel winner Liu Xiaobo’s lawyer ‘to sue China’
[BBC]
China bars lawyer from attending London conference
[AP]
China asks Japan not to attend Nobel peace award
[Reuters]
Cameron’s visit ‘fruitful’, says Chinese premier
[BBC]
China stops blocking harsh North Korea report – U.N. envoys
[Reuters]

Koreas
South Korea Drops Its Call for Apology From North
[NYT]
IAEA Chief Calls on Iran, N. Korea to Dispel Concerns About Nuke Programs
[VOA]
For U.S., Korea free-trade agreement could be backdoor to China
[WaPo]

Japan
Tokyo hails announcement that Chinese president will attend APEC summit
[Mainichi]
Knife found under seats on Delta flight to Japan
[AP]

Southeast Asia
Obama arrives in Indonesia; volcano may shorten stay
[WaPo]
Obama pledges closer ties on return to Indonesia
[BBC]
Pro-military party ‘wins’ Burmese election
[BBC]
20,000 Myanmar refugees start heading home
[AP]

South/Central Asia
Change Will Not Come Easily to the Security Council
[NYT]
Poll: Majority of Afghans back talks with Taliban
[AP]
Afghan police arrest suspected insurgent on plane
[AP]

Middle East
Netanyahu Says Iran Must Be Shown Strike Possible
[Bloomberg]
Obama voices concerns about Mideast peace talks
[AP]
Iran pushes for nuclear talks in Turkey
[LAT]
Sen. Kerry: Israel, Turkey must overcome tensions
[AP]
Jordanians vote in parliamentary election
[BBC]

Africa
Libya leader Gaddafi orders release of 19 journalists
[BBC]
Search for 7 foreign hostages after Nigeria offshore attack
[AFP]
Africa: EU-India Deal Could Threaten Access to Essential HIV Drugs
[All Africa]
Bozize to run for re-election in Central African Republic
[AFP]
South Africa fury at inaction over school gang-rape
[BBC]

Europe
French detain 5 suspects in terror network probe
[AP]
Berlusconi on the brink
[Euronews]
After the Pension Fight, Can Sarkozy Rebound?
[Time]

Americas
Cholera confirmed for resident of Haiti’s capital
[AP]
Castro calls rare Cuba communist party congress
[BBC]

Domestic
New GOP governors will affect health law
[WaPo]
Watchdog report targets New Jersey governor
[WaPo]
Five Somali men face first recent US piracy trial
[BBC]
Bush admits mistakes, defends decisions
[MSNBC]
BP May Pay Billions for ‘Missed Signals’ That Led to Disaster
[Bloomberg]
Ex-CEO says BP was unprepared for oil spill
[AP]
Travel delays for Northern Virginia Muslims heading to Mecca
[WaPo]
Obama defends Federal Reserve’s $600 billion bid to boost economic recovery
[WaPo]

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POST: What to Expect from Stephen Bosworth’s Trip to the DPRK

December 8, 2009

This week, Stephen W. Bosworth goes to Pyongyang. As the highest US administration official to visit the once termed “hermit state” since Assistant Secretary Chris Hill visited  in October 2008, media speculation is running rampant. But what seems to be consistent in the calculated guesswork not only of the fourth estate as well as former administration officials, academics, and other North Korea watchers, are low expectations. “An immediate return to Six-Party Talks, complete denuclearization, and the singing of the angels” – this is not going to be the tag line of any forthcoming story on US-DPRK negotiations for some time. But, then, why is he going?

Although the tone of some in the international community and many pundits has been somber, agreement is also pervasive that when the North accepts an offer to meet and extends a formal invitation, one doesn’t put it at the bottom of the Holiday Party invite pile and move on. One accepts. For lack of a better option, we have to accept. This is due purely to the fact that no movement by either side during a meeting still allows both sides to shake hands, take some pictures, and appear to be moving towards some common goal. It’s likely to be mostly lip-service – but that’s okay, and here’s why.

This morning, in a briefing given to press at the Korea Economic Institute in Washington, former Bush Administration Special Envoy to North Korea Jack Pritchard laid out the impressions he and colleagues received in a recent trip to the DPRK. Other than the insight into North Korean daily life that we all enjoy and, dare I say it, crave, he also bluntly stated that he doesn’t expect a breakthrough during Ambassador Bosworth’s trip. The North, he stated, are reverting to their 2005 LWR (light water reactor) stalling tactic, this time citing the preemptive need for a US-DPRK peace treaty before returning to the Six-Party process. The headlines are almost identical – “US will only discuss LWR after NKorea rejoins nuclear treaty” from Sept. 19, 2005 mirrors “South Korea Wednesday questioned North Korea’s calls for a peace treaty with the United States, declaring its real aim is to buy time to make more nuclear weapons” from this morning.

These lackluster expectations are echoed by many previously involved in North Korea negotiations, including Georgetown Professor (woot!) and former Director for Asian Affairs at the NSC Victor Cha. In a interview with Politics-Pwn3d he stated that this trip is  “not likely to lead to any major breakthrough, but what it will be effective at doing is moving the Chinese” because only then will the US be able to go to them, after a failure to bring them back to talks and say, “All right, we did it.  Now, help us get ‘em back to the Six Party Talks.” In a nutshell, his trip is “a good way of demonstrating U.S. leadership, U.S. initiative, U.S. political commitment, to the talks and the negotiations, but it’s also a good way of getting the Chinese to work a little harder.”

This is an old tactic and the administration knows it. In the daily briefing to press at the State Department this afternoon, Asst. Sec. PJ Crowley stated that “we have a fairly good understanding of how North Korea operates in these kinds of settings. It’s unlikely their response will be, ‘yeah, we’ll meet you a week from Tuesday.'” He also acknowledged that the administration would not be surprised if superfluous issues came up during the Bosworth talks, but continued to state that these issues would and could be dealt with at a later date.

So what now? Well, due to North Korean being “the dark side of the moon” as Mr. Crowley characterized today, contact with Bosworth will be extremely limited until Thursday, when he is (planned to) fly back to Seoul via Beijing where he will address awaiting press. Most envision future consultations and much stalemating by the North before any decisions are made on the future of the Six-Party process and, hand-in-hand, US-DPRK relations. But this is okay. Both sides are sitting down at the table and after the disastrous Hill visits of the ‘noughties’ and the North’s nuclear test this year, not much can be worse.

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